Author: Anthea » Mon Sep 12, 2016 9:34 pm
What happens if Hillary drops out? We explain the possible scenarios that could unfold if the Democratic candidate decides not to run
Democratic Party bylaws say a special, emergency meeting would be held
They would hold a vote with members to decide the next person on ticket
New candidate would be chosen by simple majority, but details are unclear
Her running mate Tim Kaine, Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden could all be considered to take her place
There is also precedent for a family member to step into the race
However the 22nd Amendment stops husband Bill from doing so
If Hillary did drop out, she would be the first candidate in history to do so
Hillary Clinton's doctor confirmed on Sunday night the presidential candidate has pneumonia.
She made the shocking announcement after video surfaced of the 68-year-old collapsing after abruptly leaving the 9/11 memorial service in New York.
The revelation didn't just bring her health into question, but also added the possibility she may have to drop from the race. She has put her campaign on hold and is resting in her Chappaqua, New York, home.
But if her condition deteriorates significantly, the Democratic Party may be forced to consider their options.
No presidential candidate of a major party has ever died or withdrawn before a presidential election.
Despite that, here is what could happen if Clinton drops out of the race for the White House:
Democratic National Committee bylaws would come into play
It is very rare for a candidate to drop out before the ballot in November, but the DNC have still factored it into their guidelines.
They state that, if Clinton was to drop out, it would have to be completely her choice.
If she confirmed she was stepping aside, senior party officials would hold an emergency meeting.
A vote would then be organized among members, with the new name on the ticket having to be elected by a simple majority.
But it is not clear when or how that would take place.
It is likely the Democrats would do improvise slightly in order to choose another candidate.
There would be no special preference given to any candidates who have already been involved in the process.
The Democratic National Committee Bylaws read: 'The foregoing notwithstanding, a special meeting to fill a vacancy on the National ticket shall be held on the call of the Chairperson, who shall set the date for such meeting.'
Then there would be a vote among members to fill the position on the national ticket. The winner would require a simple majority.
However, all of the members who vote would have to be present when they handed over their ballot slips
If one of the Republican candidates died, their party would reconvene the convention.
Could Congress push Election Day back?
Congress sets the date for the General Election. This year it is on November 8, or the Tuesday after the first Monday in November.
They can vote to change the date to extend the time the Democrats have to decide on a candidate - or for Hillary to recover- but it's extremely unlikely.
Voting laws - such as changing elections to weekends - have stalled in Congress frequently. States would also have to pass any regulations and would have to extend their voting regulations.
There is also a strong Republican presence in Congress, and they may not want to pass a measure that gives the Democrats a chance of winning.
Tim Kaine for President?
As the United States Senator from Virginia already has a large donor base, there is a strong chance he would move up the ticket.
He may then pick up running mate himself and carry on campaigning.
However, members of the party would have to cast their vote to get him into that position.
Kaine has no special consideration even though he is on the ticket. If someone else is voted in, Kaine could still be the running mate
As running mate Tim Kaine already has a large donor base, there is a strong chance he would move up the ticket. However he has no special consideration over potential rivals
What about Joe Biden or Bernie Sanders?
Bernie Sanders was Clinton's most viable and strongest opponent during the campaign, while Joe Biden has always been a favorite of the Democratic hopefuls.
Arguably, as two of the more recognized Democrats, they could drum up more support during the general election.
However, they would still have to be picked by members.
Biden has previously stated he didn't want to run. Bernie lost out to Clinton in the primary process, but still has a large support base among members.
Could it be Chelsea?
There is a tradition of spouses taking the place of their candidate, but that has typically been when they have died.
For example, Jean Carnahan stood in for her husband Mel after he died in a plane crash three weeks before the Missouri Senate election in 2001. She won, and served for two years in his place.
Future Senator Olympia Snowe first entered politics after the death of her husband, a Maine state representative, in a car wreck.
Former U.S. Representative for California Mary Bono’s long political career began when her husband Sonny died in a skiing incident.
She was first elected to Congress just weeks after her husband died.
But Hillary's husband Bill is prevented from running because of The 22nd Amendment - stating no President can be elected to more than two terms.
Therefore, Chelsea could take her place. There is a concern that she has never held elected office and hasn't made it clear she wants a career in politics.
Who has faced similar questions before?
Many high-profile candidates have been put under the same scrutiny, but they haven't dropped out.
Rumors about Franklin D Roosevelt’s health dogged his final presidential campaign in 1944.
He carried on regardless, as his aides kept his heart disease a secret. It would kill him in 1945, just a year into his fourth term, prompting Vice President Harry Truman to be sworn in as president.
Republicans Ronald Reagan, Bob Dole and Senator John McCain have all faced questions about their health as Republican presidential nominees.
McCain allowed reporters to see 1,173 pages of medical records after concerns were raised about a cancer scare.
He failed in his bid to become president, losing to Barack Obama in 2008.
Does it depend how quickly she recovers from pneumonia?
Pneumonia is commonly treated quickly and effectively with antibiotics.
Doctors suggest it takes around a week to get over the worst of the symptoms.
If she was considering stepping aside from the campaign, she would have to choose at least a month before.
This would allow the DNC to go through with the voting process.
Dr. William Schaffner, an infectious disease expert at Vanderbilt University, said patients with a mild pneumonia can recover with antibiotics, a few days of rest and good hydration.
That's especially true of someone who does strenuous work, such as a rigorous campaign schedule.
But Clinton does need to take it seriously, some experts said.
People over age 65 have a harder time returning to normal than do younger patients.
Many people her age need a week or more to recover from even a mild case of pneumonia, said Dr Sharon Bergquist, an Emory University assistant professor of medicine who specializes in internal medicine.
'The body needs rest. The more she pushes, the harder it is for her to recover,' she said.
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